Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.489320 2.647190 2.814440 3.005592 3.218977 3.450982 3.723849
2026-01-04 2.193620 2.403530 2.637401 2.919935 3.255684 3.646776 4.144262
2026-01-11 2.046141 2.286863 2.564343 2.912819 3.346219 3.878241 4.598935
2026-01-18 1.964999 2.232764 2.550404 2.962961 3.497376 4.186107 5.177839
2026-01-25 2.042919 2.370478 2.773661 3.321175 4.071103 5.107193 6.743340
2026-02-01 1.902435 2.225814 2.629759 3.188381 3.971670 5.087117 6.924441
2026-02-08 1.772717 2.086716 2.483245 3.039129 3.832583 4.989301 6.959571
2026-02-15 1.701205 2.017963 2.423539 3.002115 3.847294 5.118273 7.384365
2026-02-22 1.625801 1.940011 2.346675 2.934828 3.810030 5.159878 7.660663
2026-03-01 1.547628 1.854842 2.255629 2.841264 3.724979 5.114681 7.768101
2026-03-08 1.466592 1.762787 2.151233 2.722712 3.593156 4.980072 7.683689
2026-03-15 1.431846 1.731127 2.127843 2.719710 3.638853 5.144400 8.213415
2026-03-22 1.386078 1.687356 2.091799 2.705359 3.680840 5.334292 8.903739
2026-03-29 1.323633 1.619067 2.019188 2.633396 3.626485 5.352432 9.243784
2026-04-05 1.287085 1.584409 1.991870 2.627379 3.678835 5.571176 10.114715
2026-04-12 1.267924 1.572664 1.996222 2.669687 3.815991 5.972299 11.602171
2026-04-19 1.320515 1.663824 2.155326 2.969780 4.445825 7.523200 17.496285
2026-04-26 1.261298 1.592136 2.067441 2.858967 4.304560 7.358342 17.557613
2026-05-03 1.201807 1.518299 1.973711 2.733811 4.126883 7.087469 17.114782
2026-05-10 1.169405 1.482824 1.936996 2.702672 4.128290 7.242259 18.503524
2026-05-17 1.132617 1.439748 1.886922 2.645959 4.074585 7.255261 19.316832
2026-05-24 1.092315 1.390397 1.825523 2.566871 3.970548 7.129062 19.435809
2026-05-31 1.048614 1.335032 1.753286 2.466275 3.817424 6.862445 18.774421